Final Program
Workshop on Short-to-Medium Range Regional NWP in the
Arctic and Antarctic
October 8-10,2003
International Arctic Research Center University of Alaska Fairbanks
| Conveners: |
David Bromwich, ByrdPolar Research Center, Ohio State University |
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Jeff Tilley, Regional Weather Information Center, University of NorthDakota and Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks |
Wednesday, October 8, Morning
8:00-8:45 AM
Registration, 4th Floor IARC
8:45AM General Session Begins, 401 or 501 IARC (room TBD)
- 0. Welcome and Opening Remarks
(Session
Chair: Jeff Tilley,University of North Dakota)
- 0.1 Welcome,
- John Walsh, International Arctic Research Center
- 0.2 Logistical Matters,
- Chris Lace, , International Arctic Research Center
- 0.3 Intent and Goals of the Workshop
- Jeff Tilley, , UND and/or David Bromwich, , OSU, Workshop Convenors
| 9:00AM | Session 1: Improving Initialization and Data
Assimilation, utilizing satellite and conventional data sources, for NWP high latitude applications
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(Session Chair:John Walsh, UAF/IARC)
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- 9:00 AM 1.1 Assessments of Surface Variables from Atmospheric Reanalysis (Invited Presentation)
- Mark C. Serreze, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
- 9:30 AM 1.2 The Antarctic Surface Energy Budget from a Regional Model Forced with Satellite-Derived Cloud Properties(Invited Presentation)
- Jeffrey R. Key, NOAA/NESDIS Madison, WI
- 10:00 AM 1.3 Paper withdrawn
- 10:40 AM 1.4 Discussion
- John Walsh, , UAF/IARC, Moderator
Wednesday, October 8, Afternoon
| 1:15 PM | Session 2: MODIS Winds Applications to NWP/Data Assimilation studies
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(Session Chairs: Chris Velden, CIMSS and Jeff Key, NOAA/NESDIS)
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- 1:15 PM 2.1 and 2.2 Session Introduction and MODIS winds dataset characteristic
- Chris Velden and Dave Santek, CIMSS, University of Wisconsin-Madison and Jeffrey R. Key, NOAA/NESDIS
- 2:10 PM 2.3 Operational transition of MODIS experimental winds to
NESDIS
- Jamie Daniels , NOAA/NESDIS
- 2:30 PM 2.4 Preparation for operational assimilation of MODIS winds at the DAO
- Lars Peter Riishojgaard , NASA Data Assimilation Office
- 3:20 PM 2.5 MODIS polar winds in ECMWF's data assimilation system:
Longterm results and recent case studies
- Lueder von Bremen, ECMWF, Reading UK
- 3:50 PM 2.6 MODIS winds assimilation experiments and impact studies to date at UKMO
- Howard Berger, UK Meteorological Office, B racknell, UK
- 4:20 PM 2.7 MODIS Winds Assimilation Impact Study with the CMC Operational Forecast System
- Réal Sarrazin , Canadian Meteorological Centre Dorval, Québec, Canada
- 4:40 PM 2.8 Discussion
- Jeff Key, Chris Velden, moderators
Poster Session
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- P1 Antarctic Meteorological Data:Availability, Applications, & Considerations for
Real-Time Data Assimilation (Invited Poster)
- Shelley L. Knuth1, Matthew A. Lazzara1, Arthur M. Cayette2, and Charles R. Stearns1
1Antarctic Meteorological Research Center, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin
2Space and Naval Warfare System Center,Charleston, South Carolina
- P2 Paper withdrawn
- P3 Improved simulations by Polar MM5 of the atmospheric conditions over Arctic river basins
- David H. Bromwich, Lesheng Bai, Yan Ma and Sheng-Hung Wang
Polar Meteorology Group, Byrd Polar Research Center The Ohio State University
- P4 Paper withdrawn
- P5 Greenland Weather Prediction Initiative using a Regional Atmospheric Model (PITERAC)
- Lin Li , David Bromwich and Jason Box, Byrd Polar Research Center and Dept. of Geography, Ohio State University
- P6 Mapping of precipitation in Iceland using numerical simulations and statistical modeling
- Olafur Rognvaldsson, Icelandic Meteorological Office , Reykjavik, Iceland
- P7 Paper withdrawn
- P8 Model estimates of wind stress in Nares Strait and Smith Sound
- R. M. Samelson and P. Barbour, COAS, Oregon State University
Thursday, October 9, Morning
| 9:00AM | Session 3: Improving NWP model physics for high latitude applications, including atm/ice/ocean/land couplings
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(Session Chair David Bromwich, Byrd Polar Research Center, Ohio State University)
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- 9:00 AM 3.1 Improving NWP Model Physics for high latitude applications: The importance of organic soils, Dufour- and Luwid-Soret
effects, and soil-frost (Invited Presentation)
- Nicole Mölders, Geophysical Insitute, University of Alaska Fairbanks
- 9:30 AM 3.2 The Use Of a Variable Step Topography For Stable Flow Around Barriers
- Amanda S. Adams and Gregory J. Tripoli, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Department, University of Wisconsin-Madison
- 9:50 AM 3.3 Topographical influenced flow over Svalbard
- Anne Sandvik, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, BERGEN, NORWAY
- 10:10 AM 3.4 Numerical Modeling of Local WindStorms at Paulatuk, NT
- Ron Goodson, Meteorological Service of Canada, Environment Canada,Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
- 10:50 AM 3.5a Impact of the implementation of a nudging upper boundary condition in the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System
(AMPS)
- Andrew Monaghan and David Bromwich, Byrd Polar Research Center, Ohio State University
- 11:20 AM 3.6 Improving Arctic Climate Modeling for Weather and Climate Prediction(Invited Presentation)
- Wieslaw Maslowski , Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey CA
- 11:50 AM 3.7 Discussion
- David Bromwich, Ohio State University, Moderator
- 12:40 PM Keynote Talk:
- Dale Barker, NCAR/MMM, Boulder CO
"Antarctic Data Assimilation in AMPS"
1:40 PM | Session 4: NWP Physics and Case Studies, continued.
(Session 4 & 5 Chair: Jeff Tilley, Univ. of N. Dakota)
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- 1:40 PM 4.1 Paper withdrawn
- 2:00 PM 4.2 Multi-Year and Seasonal Analysis of Medium Range Forecast Model Output Statistics (MOS)
Temperature Forecasts for Interior Alaska
- Rick Thoman, Timothy L. Shy and Eric Stevens, NWS, Fairbanks, AK
- 2:20 PM 4.3 Verification of Arctic MM5 Performance over the annual cycle, 2002-2003
- Jeffrey S. Tilley, Univ. of North Dakota and Jeremy Krieger, University of Alaska Fairbanks
- 2:40 PM 4.4 Polar Optimized WRF for Arctic System Reanalysis of Arctic Meteorology over Recent Decades
- David H. Bromwich and Keith M. Hines, Byrd Polar Research Center, The Ohio State University
| 3:20 PM | Session 5: Operational Facilities and Issues.
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- 3:20 PM 5.1 The New Arctic Laboratory for the Meteorological Service of Canada at Edmonton, Alberta
- Shauna Sigurdson , Meteorological Service of Canada, Environment Canada, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
- 3:40 PM 5.2 The Interactive Forecast Preparation System in the National
Weather Service (NWS) and the Need for High Resolution Weather Information
- Gary Hufford , NOAA/NWS , Anchorage, AK
4:00 PM | Session 6: Validation Issues
(Session Chair: Timothy Shy, NOAA/NWS, Fairbanks, AK)
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- 4:00 PM 6.1Mesoscale Atmospheric Model Validation Using Self-Organizing Maps (SOMs) (Invited Presentation)
- John J. Cassano and Amanda H. Lynch , CIRES, University of Colorado Boulder, CO
- 4:30 PM 6.2 A Paradigm of Meteorological Model Evaluation(Invited Presentation)
- Ola Persson, Jian-Wen Bao and Sara Michelson, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO
- 5:00 PM 6.3 Discussion
- Timothy Shy, NOAA/NWS, Moderator
Friday, October 10 Morning
9:00 AM | Session 7: Numerical issues relevant to NWP in the Arctic and Antarctic:
(Session Chair: : Ola Persson, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO)
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- 9:00 AM 7.1 On the Impact of High Horizontal Resolution in Real-Time Antarctic NWP (Invited Presentation)
- Jordan G. Powers, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder,CO
- 9:30 AM 7.2 Paper withdrawn
- 9:50 AM 7.3 Sensitivity of the Antarctic Limited Area Prediction System (ALAPS) to model resolution and the location of the upper
boundary
- Neil Adams , Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems CRC and Australian Bureau of Meteorology
- 10:10 AM 7.4 Some aspects of the ECMWF analysis/forecast system in the polar regions (Invited Presentation)
- Pedro Viterbo, ECMWF, Reading, UK
- 10:45 AM 7.5 Discussion
- Ola Persson, Moderator
Friday, October
10 Afternoon
| 1:30PM | Session 8: Roundtable Discussion w/r/t Arctic Reanalysis Development, 401 IARC
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